**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
18 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$79,207 वॉल्यूम
$79,207 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$79,207 वॉल्यूम
$79,207 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
34°C or below
$1,174 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$1,622 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$3,419 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C
$7,040 वॉल्यूम
No
38°C
$15,109 वॉल्यूम
No
39°C
$23,767 वॉल्यूम
Yes
40°C
$15,411 वॉल्यूम
No
41°C
$7,595 वॉल्यूम
No
42°C
$3,140 वॉल्यूम
No
43°C
$330 वॉल्यूम
No
44°C or higher
$599 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$79,207समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$79,207समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
**Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical models centers on a Madrid daily maximum of 38–39 °C on 18 August under a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds.** This setup aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the central Iberian Peninsula, where daytime highs commonly reach the upper 30s °C. The near-certain market pricing on 39 °C reflects the tight clustering of model runs and official guidance around that threshold, with minimal expected deviation. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include a faster-than-anticipated increase in afternoon cloud cover or a subtle shift in steering winds that caps the peak just below 39 °C; updated AEMET briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final data for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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