Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF-aligned forecasts points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Madrid on September 22. This setup favors strong daytime heating under low humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with Madrid’s continental climate where September afternoons often peak 6–8 °C above average. Historical analogs show a 34 °C record from 1983, while current runs remain 1–2 °C below that threshold, explaining why traders assign 61 % implied probability to 34 °C and 34.5 % to 33 °C. The next AEMET and GFS updates, plus any shift in steering flow, represent the key near-term catalysts that could move resolution odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
22 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 59%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
36°C 7%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C
35%
34°C
59%
35°C
16%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
2%
34°C 59%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
36°C 7%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
35%
34°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
59%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
37°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF-aligned forecasts points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Madrid on September 22. This setup favors strong daytime heating under low humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with Madrid’s continental climate where September afternoons often peak 6–8 °C above average. Historical analogs show a 34 °C record from 1983, while current runs remain 1–2 °C below that threshold, explaining why traders assign 61 % implied probability to 34 °C and 34.5 % to 33 °C. The next AEMET and GFS updates, plus any shift in steering flow, represent the key near-term catalysts that could move resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$121समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF-aligned forecasts points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Madrid on September 22. This setup favors strong daytime heating under low humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with Madrid’s continental climate where September afternoons often peak 6–8 °C above average. Historical analogs show a 34 °C record from 1983, while current runs remain 1–2 °C below that threshold, explaining why traders assign 61 % implied probability to 34 °C and 34.5 % to 33 °C. The next AEMET and GFS updates, plus any shift in steering flow, represent the key near-term catalysts that could move resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$121समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF-aligned forecasts points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Madrid on September 22. This setup favors strong daytime heating under low humidity and minimal cloud cover, consistent with Madrid’s continental climate where September afternoons often peak 6–8 °C above average. Historical analogs show a 34 °C record from 1983, while current runs remain 1–2 °C below that threshold, explaining why traders assign 61 % implied probability to 34 °C and 34.5 % to 33 °C. The next AEMET and GFS updates, plus any shift in steering flow, represent the key near-term catalysts that could move resolution odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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