Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 20 September, with southerly winds following a frontal passage expected to limit daytime warming while keeping conditions above seasonal norms for early spring. High pressure building behind the front supports mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though scattered showers could briefly suppress readings. Traders have priced 15 °C as the clear favorite at 57 % implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple ensemble members and historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these odds if wind timing or cloud cover deviates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 57%
14°C 24%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
24%
15°C
57%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 57%
14°C 24%
16°C 13%
13°C 4%
नया
नया
20 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$277 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
12°C
$250 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
4%
14°C
$3,262 वॉल्यूम
24%
15°C
$497 वॉल्यूम
57%
16°C
$3,491 वॉल्यूम
13%
17°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C
$359 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 20 September, with southerly winds following a frontal passage expected to limit daytime warming while keeping conditions above seasonal norms for early spring. High pressure building behind the front supports mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though scattered showers could briefly suppress readings. Traders have priced 15 °C as the clear favorite at 57 % implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple ensemble members and historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these odds if wind timing or cloud cover deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,624समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 20 September, with southerly winds following a frontal passage expected to limit daytime warming while keeping conditions above seasonal norms for early spring. High pressure building behind the front supports mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though scattered showers could briefly suppress readings. Traders have priced 15 °C as the clear favorite at 57 % implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple ensemble members and historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these odds if wind timing or cloud cover deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,624समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 20 September, with southerly winds following a frontal passage expected to limit daytime warming while keeping conditions above seasonal norms for early spring. High pressure building behind the front supports mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, though scattered showers could briefly suppress readings. Traders have priced 15 °C as the clear favorite at 57 % implied probability, reflecting alignment across multiple ensemble members and historical analogs for similar post-frontal setups. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these odds if wind timing or cloud cover deviates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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