**Forecast models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 6–8°C, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling.** Springtime variability in the region, with frequent frontal passages and orographic effects from surrounding hills, creates narrow differences among these thresholds. Official measurements at stations like Wellington Airport reflect these conditions, where even modest shifts in wind speed or timing of clearing skies can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 6–9°C because ensemble guidance shows overlapping probabilities without a dominant signal, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts for coastal mid-latitude sites. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C 100%
7°C 51%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C या उससे कम
3%
6°C
100%
7°C
51%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
6°C 100%
7°C 51%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C या उससे कम
3%
6°C
100%
7°C
51%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate Wellington's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 6–8°C, driven by southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover modulating radiative cooling.** Springtime variability in the region, with frequent frontal passages and orographic effects from surrounding hills, creates narrow differences among these thresholds. Official measurements at stations like Wellington Airport reflect these conditions, where even modest shifts in wind speed or timing of clearing skies can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 6–9°C because ensemble guidance shows overlapping probabilities without a dominant signal, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts for coastal mid-latitude sites. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution as the night progresses.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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