Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and European centers points to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, driven by moderating southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds following showers on the 17th. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate official forecasts showing values near or slightly above the early-September average while ruling out extremes due to the advancing autumnal cooling trend. Historical September maxima in Warsaw typically range 16–20°C, but recent above-normal readings earlier in the month have kept 23°C in play at lower probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure shifts ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 51%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
37%
22°C
51%
23°C
12%
24°C
<1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
1%
22°C 51%
21°C 37%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$1,243 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$133 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$538 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$367 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$166 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$365 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$1,791 वॉल्यूम
37%
22°C
$2,745 वॉल्यूम
51%
23°C
$1,479 वॉल्यूम
12%
24°C
$285 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$205 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and European centers points to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, driven by moderating southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds following showers on the 17th. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate official forecasts showing values near or slightly above the early-September average while ruling out extremes due to the advancing autumnal cooling trend. Historical September maxima in Warsaw typically range 16–20°C, but recent above-normal readings earlier in the month have kept 23°C in play at lower probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure shifts ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,317समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and European centers points to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, driven by moderating southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds following showers on the 17th. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate official forecasts showing values near or slightly above the early-September average while ruling out extremes due to the advancing autumnal cooling trend. Historical September maxima in Warsaw typically range 16–20°C, but recent above-normal readings earlier in the month have kept 23°C in play at lower probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure shifts ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,317समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including GFS and European centers points to a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 18, driven by moderating southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds following showers on the 17th. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes, as traders incorporate official forecasts showing values near or slightly above the early-September average while ruling out extremes due to the advancing autumnal cooling trend. Historical September maxima in Warsaw typically range 16–20°C, but recent above-normal readings earlier in the month have kept 23°C in play at lower probability. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure shifts ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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