**Cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing monsoon season are capping peak temperatures in Manila on September 17, keeping the daily maximum near the historical seasonal average of 30–31 °C.** Official and model guidance consistently show scattered to widespread storms, high humidity near 80–90 %, and limited sunshine, which reduce surface heating and prevent stronger daytime warming. This scientific setup explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31 °C (37.5 %) and 32 °C (43.0 %), with 33 °C still carrying meaningful probability (21.0 %). Forecasters note that brief breaks in cloud cover could allow a brief spike to 32–33 °C, while heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of that range. The resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 49%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
34°C <1%
$31,815 वॉल्यूम
$31,815 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
36%
32°C
44%
33°C
21%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
34°C <1%
$31,815 वॉल्यूम
$31,815 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
36%
32°C
44%
33°C
21%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with the ongoing monsoon season are capping peak temperatures in Manila on September 17, keeping the daily maximum near the historical seasonal average of 30–31 °C.** Official and model guidance consistently show scattered to widespread storms, high humidity near 80–90 %, and limited sunshine, which reduce surface heating and prevent stronger daytime warming. This scientific setup explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31 °C (37.5 %) and 32 °C (43.0 %), with 33 °C still carrying meaningful probability (21.0 %). Forecasters note that brief breaks in cloud cover could allow a brief spike to 32–33 °C, while heavier or earlier rain would favor the lower end of that range. The resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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