Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs points to a stable high-pressure pattern with clear skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions favor strong daytime heating through high solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, pushing readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.7 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on 28–30 °C and little evidence of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 29 °C leading as the consensus outcome ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
19 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
29°C 63%
30°C 27%
28°C 10%
31°C <1%
नया
$13,140 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,140 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
63%
30°C
27%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 63%
30°C 27%
28°C 10%
31°C <1%
नया
$13,140 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,140 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
$1,126 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$938 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$1,166 वॉल्यूम
10%
29°C
$4,138 वॉल्यूम
63%
30°C
$3,535 वॉल्यूम
27%
31°C
$898 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$774 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
$100 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs points to a stable high-pressure pattern with clear skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions favor strong daytime heating through high solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, pushing readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.7 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on 28–30 °C and little evidence of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 29 °C leading as the consensus outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,140समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs points to a stable high-pressure pattern with clear skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions favor strong daytime heating through high solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, pushing readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.7 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on 28–30 °C and little evidence of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 29 °C leading as the consensus outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$13,140समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and GFS-based outputs points to a stable high-pressure pattern with clear skies and light southeasterly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions favor strong daytime heating through high solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, pushing readings above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.7 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with most runs converging on 28–30 °C and little evidence of stronger warming or cooling advection that would shift probabilities toward 31 °C or below 28 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, with 29 °C leading as the consensus outcome ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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