Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18°C 48%
17°C 24%
19°C 16%
16°C 10%
10°C या उससे कम
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
24%
18°C
48%
19°C
16%
20°C या अधिक
6%
18°C 48%
17°C 24%
19°C 16%
16°C 10%
10°C या उससे कम
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
24%
18°C
48%
19°C
16%
20°C या अधिक
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 18–19°C for Moscow on September 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, variable cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime warming. This positions 18°C as the market leader at 48.5% implied probability, with 17°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor ensemble spread in temperature and timing of any showers. Recent observations show a mild September pattern without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection, consistent with climatological norms for mid-month. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, as resolution occurs via official maximum temperature readings within hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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