Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C 100.0%
7°C 3%
6°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
$876 वॉल्यूम
$876 वॉल्यूम
3°C या उससे कम
नहीं
4°C
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
9°C 100.0%
7°C 3%
6°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
$876 वॉल्यूम
$876 वॉल्यूम
3°C या उससे कम
नहीं
4°C
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and consensus model runs indicate overnight lows in the Moscow region will reach approximately 9°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds of 6–11 m/s, aligning with the market's strong 95% implied probability for that threshold. This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions, including a stable pressure field around 1011–1016 hPa and limited precipitation chances, which support gradual nocturnal cooling consistent with mid-September climatology where average lows hover near 8°C. Recent model agreement across GFS and regional guidance reinforces limited downside risk. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly wind shift advecting colder air, potentially dropping readings below the mark before official verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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