Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
3 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 6%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 6%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
29°C or below
$70 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$469 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$836 वॉल्यूम
20%
33°C
$457 वॉल्यूम
47%
34°C
$379 वॉल्यूम
24%
35°C
$307 वॉल्यूम
6%
36°C
$216 वॉल्यूम
3%
37°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C
$137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C or higher
$151 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,074समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,074समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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