The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Manila on July 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 4?
33°C 37%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 5.8%
नया
नया
4 जुल, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
13%
33°C
37%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 37%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
35°C 5.8%
नया
नया
4 जुल, 2026
26°C or below
$64 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$236 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$132 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$240 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$210 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$847 वॉल्यूम
13%
33°C
$328 वॉल्यूम
37%
34°C
$197 वॉल्यूम
27%
35°C
$156 वॉल्यूम
6%
36°C or higher
$109 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,577समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,577समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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