**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 जुलाई को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 46%
26°C 34%
28°C 10%
25°C 10%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
34%
27°C
46%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
1%
27°C 46%
26°C 34%
28°C 10%
25°C 10%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
34%
27°C
46%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's July 20 high centers on the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C implied probabilities, reflecting model consensus around slightly above the long-term July average of ~24°C.** Official climatology from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark places typical highs at 22–25°C due to the city's 2,240 m elevation and July rainy-season dynamics, where afternoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and evaporative cooling from rainfall often cap daytime peaks. Recent short-range forecasts and ensemble runs showing reduced precipitation or clearer morning conditions have nudged expectations upward, with traders weighing variables such as dew-point levels, wind patterns from the northeast, and potential model spread in maximum temperature guidance. Historical analogs indicate occasional excursions to 26–27°C when subtropical moisture is limited, while sustained monsoon activity tends to hold readings nearer 24–25°C; resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum at official stations amid these competing influences.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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