Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Munich on August 16 under high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient daytime heating. This consensus aligns with observed surface conditions and model agreement on boundary-layer temperatures, placing the outcome near the upper end of typical mid-August climatology for the region. The market-implied probability of 100% for 32°C reflects traders' assessment of minimal upside or downside risk given the short time to resolution. Realistic challenges remain if unexpected convective development or a slight shift in steering flow reduces insolation enough to cap the high at 31°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$139,768 वॉल्यूम
$139,768 वॉल्यूम
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$139,768 वॉल्यूम
$139,768 वॉल्यूम
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a peak temperature of 32°C in Munich on August 16 under high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing efficient daytime heating. This consensus aligns with observed surface conditions and model agreement on boundary-layer temperatures, placing the outcome near the upper end of typical mid-August climatology for the region. The market-implied probability of 100% for 32°C reflects traders' assessment of minimal upside or downside risk given the short time to resolution. Realistic challenges remain if unexpected convective development or a slight shift in steering flow reduces insolation enough to cap the high at 31°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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