Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from increasing cloud cover and a 30-90% chance of showers or thunderstorms across the New York metro area on August 16, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Climatologically, Central Park's long-term August high averages near 83°F, but the current synoptic setup—with a frontal boundary and higher humidity—has pulled consensus forecasts several degrees below that baseline. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether any clearing allows a brief push into the mid-80s or keeps readings capped lower.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7%
नया
$11,432 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,432 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7%
नया
$11,432 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,432 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
71°F or below
$211 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$148 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$610 वॉल्यूम
1%
76-77°F
$1,554 वॉल्यूम
6%
78-79°F
$976 वॉल्यूम
16%
80-81°F
$650 वॉल्यूम
46%
82-83°F
$3,235 वॉल्यूम
25%
84-85°F
$1,405 वॉल्यूम
7%
86-87°F
$1,111 वॉल्यूम
2%
88-89°F
$999 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90°F or higher
$532 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from increasing cloud cover and a 30-90% chance of showers or thunderstorms across the New York metro area on August 16, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Climatologically, Central Park's long-term August high averages near 83°F, but the current synoptic setup—with a frontal boundary and higher humidity—has pulled consensus forecasts several degrees below that baseline. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether any clearing allows a brief push into the mid-80s or keeps readings capped lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,432समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from increasing cloud cover and a 30-90% chance of showers or thunderstorms across the New York metro area on August 16, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Climatologically, Central Park's long-term August high averages near 83°F, but the current synoptic setup—with a frontal boundary and higher humidity—has pulled consensus forecasts several degrees below that baseline. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether any clearing allows a brief push into the mid-80s or keeps readings capped lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,432समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from increasing cloud cover and a 30-90% chance of showers or thunderstorms across the New York metro area on August 16, limiting surface heating and keeping the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Climatologically, Central Park's long-term August high averages near 83°F, but the current synoptic setup—with a frontal boundary and higher humidity—has pulled consensus forecasts several degrees below that baseline. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine whether any clearing allows a brief push into the mid-80s or keeps readings capped lower.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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