Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a Tokyo high of 29–30°C for August 16, 2026, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Trader consensus favors 29°C at 39% implied probability, reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and possible sea-breeze effects that limit peak insolation, while 28°C and 30°C options capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island contributions. No typhoon or frontal passage is indicated in the latest guidance, keeping extremes below 32°C improbable; updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 40%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 5%
नया
$18,516 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,516 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
40%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 5%
नया
$18,516 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,516 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$1,221 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$477 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$569 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$3,753 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C
$1,491 वॉल्यूम
27%
29°C
$2,357 वॉल्यूम
40%
30°C
$3,171 वॉल्यूम
23%
31°C
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
5%
32°C
$2,210 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C
$1,573 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C or higher
$575 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a Tokyo high of 29–30°C for August 16, 2026, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Trader consensus favors 29°C at 39% implied probability, reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and possible sea-breeze effects that limit peak insolation, while 28°C and 30°C options capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island contributions. No typhoon or frontal passage is indicated in the latest guidance, keeping extremes below 32°C improbable; updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,516समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a Tokyo high of 29–30°C for August 16, 2026, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Trader consensus favors 29°C at 39% implied probability, reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and possible sea-breeze effects that limit peak insolation, while 28°C and 30°C options capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island contributions. No typhoon or frontal passage is indicated in the latest guidance, keeping extremes below 32°C improbable; updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$18,516समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a Tokyo high of 29–30°C for August 16, 2026, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Trader consensus favors 29°C at 39% implied probability, reflecting modest cooling from increased cloud cover and possible sea-breeze effects that limit peak insolation, while 28°C and 30°C options capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island contributions. No typhoon or frontal passage is indicated in the latest guidance, keeping extremes below 32°C improbable; updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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