The leading market-implied outcomes cluster around 29–31°C because the southwest monsoon continues to dominate Metro Manila weather patterns through mid-August, delivering persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to frequent rains that limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks for August 16 project a 26–29°C range under these conditions, consistent with climatological norms for the wet season when monsoon-driven convection suppresses maximum temperatures below the seasonal 31–32°C average. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential absent any direct tropical cyclone influence, keeping the probability mass on 30°C highest while assigning modest weight to a brief 31°C spike if cloud breaks occur. Traders are pricing in this monsoon-driven moderation ahead of the final 24–48 hours of forecast updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 47%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
28°C 6%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
47%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C या उससे अधिक
1%
30°C 47%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
28°C 6%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
$300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$322 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$188 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$514 वॉल्यूम
6%
29°C
$1,053 वॉल्यूम
18%
30°C
$228 वॉल्यूम
47%
31°C
$540 वॉल्यूम
27%
32°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C या उससे अधिक
$82 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The leading market-implied outcomes cluster around 29–31°C because the southwest monsoon continues to dominate Metro Manila weather patterns through mid-August, delivering persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to frequent rains that limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks for August 16 project a 26–29°C range under these conditions, consistent with climatological norms for the wet season when monsoon-driven convection suppresses maximum temperatures below the seasonal 31–32°C average. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential absent any direct tropical cyclone influence, keeping the probability mass on 30°C highest while assigning modest weight to a brief 31°C spike if cloud breaks occur. Traders are pricing in this monsoon-driven moderation ahead of the final 24–48 hours of forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,600समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The leading market-implied outcomes cluster around 29–31°C because the southwest monsoon continues to dominate Metro Manila weather patterns through mid-August, delivering persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to frequent rains that limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks for August 16 project a 26–29°C range under these conditions, consistent with climatological norms for the wet season when monsoon-driven convection suppresses maximum temperatures below the seasonal 31–32°C average. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential absent any direct tropical cyclone influence, keeping the probability mass on 30°C highest while assigning modest weight to a brief 31°C spike if cloud breaks occur. Traders are pricing in this monsoon-driven moderation ahead of the final 24–48 hours of forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,600समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading market-implied outcomes cluster around 29–31°C because the southwest monsoon continues to dominate Metro Manila weather patterns through mid-August, delivering persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered to frequent rains that limit daytime heating. Official PAGASA outlooks for August 16 project a 26–29°C range under these conditions, consistent with climatological norms for the wet season when monsoon-driven convection suppresses maximum temperatures below the seasonal 31–32°C average. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential absent any direct tropical cyclone influence, keeping the probability mass on 30°C highest while assigning modest weight to a brief 31°C spike if cloud breaks occur. Traders are pricing in this monsoon-driven moderation ahead of the final 24–48 hours of forecast updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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