Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$274,358 वॉल्यूम
$274,358 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$274,358 वॉल्यूम
$274,358 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 15, 2026, project a maximum temperature of 31–33°C under light rain and humid southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain 31°C outcome. Ongoing midday readings near 31°C at urban stations, combined with typical August climatology (average highs ~32°C) and post-typhoon subsidence moderating, reinforce trader consensus that the official daily maximum will settle at 31°C. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and showers. A sudden clearing of skies or localized heat buildup could push readings to 32–33°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement adjustments at the Observatory reference site remain the primary variables that could alter the result before close of observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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