Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 34–36°C in Taipei on August 15 amid typical late-summer southwesterly flow and urban heat retention, supporting the market’s clustering around 35°C as the leading outcome. High humidity, limited cloud cover between showers, and downslope warming on the western side of the Central Mountain Range are sustaining these elevated readings, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 32–34°C but frequently reach the mid-30s. Model consensus shows modest afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply reduce peak temperatures, while the absence of direct typhoon influence keeps probabilities for 37°C or higher low yet non-zero. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.