Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
20°C 94%
19°C 5%
18°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
$16,841 वॉल्यूम
$16,841 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
20°C 94%
19°C 5%
18°C <1%
14°C या उससे कम <1%
$16,841 वॉल्यूम
$16,841 वॉल्यूम
14°C या उससे कम
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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