Current forecast guidance from regional models indicates a likely overnight low near 25–26°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Light easterly flow and urban heat retention further constrain temperature drops, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave an additional degree by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinging primarily on precise timing of moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August minima average near 25°C, providing climatological context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these distinctions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
17 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 42%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
23°C 9%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
23°C 9%
नया
नया
17 अग, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
20°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
21°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
7%
23°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
9%
24°C
$134 वॉल्यूम
6%
25°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
34%
26°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
42%
27°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
14%
28°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
5%
29°C या उससे अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional models indicates a likely overnight low near 25–26°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Light easterly flow and urban heat retention further constrain temperature drops, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave an additional degree by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinging primarily on precise timing of moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August minima average near 25°C, providing climatological context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$370समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from regional models indicates a likely overnight low near 25–26°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Light easterly flow and urban heat retention further constrain temperature drops, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave an additional degree by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinging primarily on precise timing of moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August minima average near 25°C, providing climatological context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$370समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from regional models indicates a likely overnight low near 25–26°C in Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points near 24°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Light easterly flow and urban heat retention further constrain temperature drops, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers could shave an additional degree by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this two-day lead time, with differences among 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes hinging primarily on precise timing of moisture advection and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical August minima average near 25°C, providing climatological context for the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these distinctions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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