Current forecasts for Wellington point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C on August 15 as the most probable range, driven by typical mid-winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and limited daytime insolation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal warming potential from these patterns, with gusts to 40 km/h further suppressing peaks. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, reflecting the narrow window around these values ahead of final observational data from MetService and NIWA stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 51%
14°C 36%
16°C 8%
13°C 5%
नया
$35,560 वॉल्यूम
नया
$35,560 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
36%
15°C
51%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 36%
16°C 8%
13°C 5%
नया
$35,560 वॉल्यूम
नया
$35,560 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$1,154 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$285 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$1,208 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$3,306 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$6,781 वॉल्यूम
5%
14°C
$7,506 वॉल्यूम
36%
15°C
$5,291 वॉल्यूम
51%
16°C
$6,188 वॉल्यूम
8%
17°C
$2,624 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$800 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C on August 15 as the most probable range, driven by typical mid-winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and limited daytime insolation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal warming potential from these patterns, with gusts to 40 km/h further suppressing peaks. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, reflecting the narrow window around these values ahead of final observational data from MetService and NIWA stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,560समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C on August 15 as the most probable range, driven by typical mid-winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and limited daytime insolation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal warming potential from these patterns, with gusts to 40 km/h further suppressing peaks. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, reflecting the narrow window around these values ahead of final observational data from MetService and NIWA stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$35,560समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Wellington point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C on August 15 as the most probable range, driven by typical mid-winter conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly winds, and limited daytime insolation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical August highs averaging 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal warming potential from these patterns, with gusts to 40 km/h further suppressing peaks. Traders have aligned implied probabilities accordingly, reflecting the narrow window around these values ahead of final observational data from MetService and NIWA stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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