Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को वुहान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum around 32–34°C for Wuhan on August 16, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical mid-August monsoon conditions that limit cooling despite some thundershower activity. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 31–35°C with high humidity amplifying perceived heat, while urban heat island effects in the city can add 1–2°C locally. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration supports these temperatures without strong signals for extremes above 35°C or below 32°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 33°C at 42% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance over the past 48 hours has shown minimal shifts, keeping probabilities clustered in this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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