Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai highs on August 16 will likely reach 30–31°C amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating cloud cover limiting intense solar heating. These align with climatological averages for the period (around 31–32°C) and recent observed trends of overcast skies and precipitation keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than peak summer extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range because updated model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clear-sky intensification above 32°C or significant cooling below 29°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and short-range ensemble forecasts will provide the next key data points influencing these implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
26%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
26%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai highs on August 16 will likely reach 30–31°C amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderating cloud cover limiting intense solar heating. These align with climatological averages for the period (around 31–32°C) and recent observed trends of overcast skies and precipitation keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than peak summer extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range because updated model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture that reduce the chance of clear-sky intensification above 32°C or significant cooling below 29°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and short-range ensemble forecasts will provide the next key data points influencing these implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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