Recent forecast consensus from European models and AEMET guidance points to moderating high pressure over central Spain, with possible Atlantic moisture and light showers tempering peak readings for Madrid on August 15. This dynamic follows several days of 37–38°C maxima and aligns with the market's concentration on 33–34°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs that favor those thresholds over sustained extreme heat. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Retiro station; any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust implied probabilities ahead of final verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
33°C 39%
34°C 30%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
39%
34°C
30%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 30%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$471 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$1,001 वॉल्यूम
5%
32°C
$807 वॉल्यूम
14%
33°C
$1,864 वॉल्यूम
39%
34°C
$977 वॉल्यूम
30%
35°C
$839 वॉल्यूम
14%
36°C
$1,197 वॉल्यूम
5%
37°C
$271 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C
$384 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C
$258 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$248 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and AEMET guidance points to moderating high pressure over central Spain, with possible Atlantic moisture and light showers tempering peak readings for Madrid on August 15. This dynamic follows several days of 37–38°C maxima and aligns with the market's concentration on 33–34°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs that favor those thresholds over sustained extreme heat. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Retiro station; any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust implied probabilities ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,317समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and AEMET guidance points to moderating high pressure over central Spain, with possible Atlantic moisture and light showers tempering peak readings for Madrid on August 15. This dynamic follows several days of 37–38°C maxima and aligns with the market's concentration on 33–34°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs that favor those thresholds over sustained extreme heat. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Retiro station; any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust implied probabilities ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$8,317समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models and AEMET guidance points to moderating high pressure over central Spain, with possible Atlantic moisture and light showers tempering peak readings for Madrid on August 15. This dynamic follows several days of 37–38°C maxima and aligns with the market's concentration on 33–34°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble runs that favor those thresholds over sustained extreme heat. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, while resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at the Retiro station; any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust implied probabilities ahead of final verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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