Recent ensemble guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF places Munich’s August 13 daytime maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the market’s tight clustering around the 30 °C (42.5 %) and 31 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Light south-westerly flow and variable high-cloud cover are limiting peak solar insolation, while modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and brief clearing windows create the narrow 1 °C spread between leading resolutions. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in southern Bavaria, where diurnal maxima remain sensitive to small changes in cloud timing and low-level winds. Updated model runs and any observed clearing ahead of the evening observation window remain the key near-term variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 43%
31°C 39%
29°C 11%
32°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
43%
31°C
39%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
31°C 39%
29°C 11%
32°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
43%
31°C
39%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF places Munich’s August 13 daytime maximum near 29–31 °C, producing the market’s tight clustering around the 30 °C (42.5 %) and 31 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Light south-westerly flow and variable high-cloud cover are limiting peak solar insolation, while modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and brief clearing windows create the narrow 1 °C spread between leading resolutions. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in southern Bavaria, where diurnal maxima remain sensitive to small changes in cloud timing and low-level winds. Updated model runs and any observed clearing ahead of the evening observation window remain the key near-term variables that could shift the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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