Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intense heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime peaks near 38°C on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup, combined with the urban heat island effect, supports minimum temperatures clustered around 20–22°C according to the latest model consensus. Traders have priced the 21°C outcome highest at 41.5% because ensemble spreads show the greatest probability mass near this threshold, with 20°C and 19°C following as plausible cooler edges if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly overnight. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are indicated before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
13 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 42%
20°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 8%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
6%
19°C
19%
20°C
29%
21°C
42%
22°C
8%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 29%
19°C 19%
22°C 8%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
$207 वॉल्यूम
6%
19°C
$255 वॉल्यूम
19%
20°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
29%
21°C
$632 वॉल्यूम
42%
22°C
$214 वॉल्यूम
8%
23°C
$78 वॉल्यूम
6%
24°C
$429 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$381 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$280 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intense heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime peaks near 38°C on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup, combined with the urban heat island effect, supports minimum temperatures clustered around 20–22°C according to the latest model consensus. Traders have priced the 21°C outcome highest at 41.5% because ensemble spreads show the greatest probability mass near this threshold, with 20°C and 19°C following as plausible cooler edges if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly overnight. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are indicated before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,633समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intense heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime peaks near 38°C on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup, combined with the urban heat island effect, supports minimum temperatures clustered around 20–22°C according to the latest model consensus. Traders have priced the 21°C outcome highest at 41.5% because ensemble spreads show the greatest probability mass near this threshold, with 20°C and 19°C following as plausible cooler edges if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly overnight. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are indicated before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,633समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intense heatwave across northern France, with Paris expected to see daytime peaks near 38°C on August 13 amid clear skies and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup, combined with the urban heat island effect, supports minimum temperatures clustered around 20–22°C according to the latest model consensus. Traders have priced the 21°C outcome highest at 41.5% because ensemble spreads show the greatest probability mass near this threshold, with 20°C and 19°C following as plausible cooler edges if boundary-layer mixing increases slightly overnight. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are indicated before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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