Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave building over northern France, with daytime highs potentially reaching 35–38°C on August 12, yet nighttime radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds could produce minimum temperatures near 17–19°C in central Paris. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight lows, keeping the 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh differing model runs. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but current patterns favor slightly milder nights; updated ECMWF and high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 38%
17°C 38%
19°C 25%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
11%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
25%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 38%
19°C 25%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
11%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
25%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave building over northern France, with daytime highs potentially reaching 35–38°C on August 12, yet nighttime radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds could produce minimum temperatures near 17–19°C in central Paris. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture add uncertainty to exact overnight lows, keeping the 17°C, 18°C, and 19°C outcomes nearly tied as traders weigh differing model runs. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, but current patterns favor slightly milder nights; updated ECMWF and high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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