Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for London on August 12, 2026, reflecting a warm air mass advected from the south under high pressure. Clear skies and light easterly winds promote some overnight radiative cooling but limit it compared to typical August conditions, while the urban heat island effect further moderates lows. This aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-average temperatures, with overnight minima running 2–4°C above the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 13–15°C. Trader consensus, as reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 18°C (46.5%) and 17°C (27.0%), incorporates these factors along with limited model spread on the exact minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the date could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind changes alter cooling rates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 47%
17°C 28%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
12%
17°C
28%
18°C
47%
19°C
15%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
17°C 28%
19°C 15%
16°C 12%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
12°C or below
$63 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$104 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$127 वॉल्यूम
12%
17°C
$1,324 वॉल्यूम
28%
18°C
$515 वॉल्यूम
47%
19°C
$350 वॉल्यूम
15%
20°C
$180 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$69 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C or higher
$51 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for London on August 12, 2026, reflecting a warm air mass advected from the south under high pressure. Clear skies and light easterly winds promote some overnight radiative cooling but limit it compared to typical August conditions, while the urban heat island effect further moderates lows. This aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-average temperatures, with overnight minima running 2–4°C above the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 13–15°C. Trader consensus, as reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 18°C (46.5%) and 17°C (27.0%), incorporates these factors along with limited model spread on the exact minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the date could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind changes alter cooling rates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,914समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for London on August 12, 2026, reflecting a warm air mass advected from the south under high pressure. Clear skies and light easterly winds promote some overnight radiative cooling but limit it compared to typical August conditions, while the urban heat island effect further moderates lows. This aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-average temperatures, with overnight minima running 2–4°C above the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 13–15°C. Trader consensus, as reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 18°C (46.5%) and 17°C (27.0%), incorporates these factors along with limited model spread on the exact minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the date could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind changes alter cooling rates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,914समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for London on August 12, 2026, reflecting a warm air mass advected from the south under high pressure. Clear skies and light easterly winds promote some overnight radiative cooling but limit it compared to typical August conditions, while the urban heat island effect further moderates lows. This aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-average temperatures, with overnight minima running 2–4°C above the 1991–2020 climatological baseline of roughly 13–15°C. Trader consensus, as reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 18°C (46.5%) and 17°C (27.0%), incorporates these factors along with limited model spread on the exact minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the date could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind changes alter cooling rates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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