Forecast models from MetService and ensemble guidance place Wellington’s August 11 maximum near the 12–13 °C climatological average for mid-winter, producing the tight 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. A slowly eastward-shifting ridge followed by a Tasman trough favors northerly flow that can briefly elevate daytime temperatures, yet any strengthening southerly component or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 12 °C. Historical variability in August maxima spans roughly 11–14 °C, and small shifts in the steering flow or boundary-layer mixing keep the two leading outcomes nearly balanced. Updated model runs and the next official MetService briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to resolve the narrow gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12°C 49%
13°C 41%
11°C 10%
14°C 5%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
49%
13°C
41%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
12°C 49%
13°C 41%
11°C 10%
14°C 5%
नया
नया
11 अग, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
$503 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7°C
$501 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$479 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
2%
10°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
2%
11°C
$339 वॉल्यूम
10%
12°C
$410 वॉल्यूम
49%
13°C
$346 वॉल्यूम
41%
14°C
$321 वॉल्यूम
5%
15°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C या उससे अधिक
$239 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and ensemble guidance place Wellington’s August 11 maximum near the 12–13 °C climatological average for mid-winter, producing the tight 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. A slowly eastward-shifting ridge followed by a Tasman trough favors northerly flow that can briefly elevate daytime temperatures, yet any strengthening southerly component or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 12 °C. Historical variability in August maxima spans roughly 11–14 °C, and small shifts in the steering flow or boundary-layer mixing keep the two leading outcomes nearly balanced. Updated model runs and the next official MetService briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,182समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and ensemble guidance place Wellington’s August 11 maximum near the 12–13 °C climatological average for mid-winter, producing the tight 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. A slowly eastward-shifting ridge followed by a Tasman trough favors northerly flow that can briefly elevate daytime temperatures, yet any strengthening southerly component or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 12 °C. Historical variability in August maxima spans roughly 11–14 °C, and small shifts in the steering flow or boundary-layer mixing keep the two leading outcomes nearly balanced. Updated model runs and the next official MetService briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,182समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and ensemble guidance place Wellington’s August 11 maximum near the 12–13 °C climatological average for mid-winter, producing the tight 46.5 %–42.5 % market split. A slowly eastward-shifting ridge followed by a Tasman trough favors northerly flow that can briefly elevate daytime temperatures, yet any strengthening southerly component or increased cloud cover could cap readings at 12 °C. Historical variability in August maxima spans roughly 11–14 °C, and small shifts in the steering flow or boundary-layer mixing keep the two leading outcomes nearly balanced. Updated model runs and the next official MetService briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to resolve the narrow gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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