Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 49%
13°C 33%
15°C 16%
12°C 7%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
33%
14°C
49%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
14°C 49%
13°C 33%
15°C 16%
12°C 7%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
33%
14°C
49%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from MetService and NIWA point to a maximum of 13–14°C in Wellington on August 10, driven by mild northerly flow ahead of a weakening front and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. These conditions favor daytime highs near the August climatological normal of 13–14°C, with limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and showers. The 14°C outcome leads at 48.5% because ensemble runs cluster there, while 13°C holds 33% amid minor model spread on frontal timing; warmer 15°C or higher remains possible only if winds strengthen more than expected. Updated forecasts issued on August 9 will be the key near-term catalyst for any repricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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