Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 50%
27°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
40%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 34%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
34%
28°C
40%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 27–28°C for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13 reflects short-range ensemble forecasts showing stable anticyclonic conditions with limited heat advection from the Anatolian plateau. Northerly Etesian winds and the cooling influence of the Sea of Marmara are expected to moderate daytime maxima, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add only modest warming. Model agreement remains high two days out, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could tip the outcome between the closely matched leading probabilities. Official verification will come from Turkish State Meteorological Service stations, with final readings typically released the following day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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