Recent forecasts from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles position 34–36°C as the most likely range for Milan’s August 13 maximum under persistent anticyclonic conditions and light easterly winds, driving the 53% implied probability for 35°C and supporting probabilities for 34°C and 36°C. Sunny skies and minimal cloud cover are expected to enhance surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and the urban heat-island effect explain the tight clustering around these outcomes. Extreme values remain low-probability due to limited model spread at this short range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 53%
34°C 24%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
24%
35°C
53%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 53%
34°C 24%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
24%
35°C
53%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles position 34–36°C as the most likely range for Milan’s August 13 maximum under persistent anticyclonic conditions and light easterly winds, driving the 53% implied probability for 35°C and supporting probabilities for 34°C and 36°C. Sunny skies and minimal cloud cover are expected to enhance surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and the urban heat-island effect explain the tight clustering around these outcomes. Extreme values remain low-probability due to limited model spread at this short range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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