**Forecast models point to moderate daytime heating in Beijing on August 12 due to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and possible heavy rain, keeping the maximum temperature in the narrow 26–27°C range that dominates current market-implied odds.** Official guidance and extended outlooks show a transition from recent hotter, clearer conditions, with precipitation expected to suppress peak values below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29–31°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in mid-August frequently produce maxima clustered around 26–28°C when rain arrives by midday. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next major catalysts for any odds movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 33%
27°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 17%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
17%
26°C
33%
27°C
29%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 33%
27°C 29%
28°C 18%
25°C 17%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$724 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$387 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$612 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$711 वॉल्यूम
17%
26°C
$428 वॉल्यूम
33%
27°C
$2,251 वॉल्यूम
29%
28°C
$328 वॉल्यूम
18%
29°C
$378 वॉल्यूम
6%
30°C
$182 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$374 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C or higher
$521 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to moderate daytime heating in Beijing on August 12 due to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and possible heavy rain, keeping the maximum temperature in the narrow 26–27°C range that dominates current market-implied odds.**
Official guidance and extended outlooks show a transition from recent hotter, clearer conditions, with precipitation expected to suppress peak values below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29–31°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in mid-August frequently produce maxima clustered around 26–28°C when rain arrives by midday. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next major catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,896समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to moderate daytime heating in Beijing on August 12 due to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and possible heavy rain, keeping the maximum temperature in the narrow 26–27°C range that dominates current market-implied odds.**
Official guidance and extended outlooks show a transition from recent hotter, clearer conditions, with precipitation expected to suppress peak values below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29–31°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in mid-August frequently produce maxima clustered around 26–28°C when rain arrives by midday. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next major catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,896समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to moderate daytime heating in Beijing on August 12 due to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and possible heavy rain, keeping the maximum temperature in the narrow 26–27°C range that dominates current market-implied odds.** Official guidance and extended outlooks show a transition from recent hotter, clearer conditions, with precipitation expected to suppress peak values below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 29–31°C. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°C, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow. Historical analogs for similar synoptic setups in mid-August frequently produce maxima clustered around 26–28°C when rain arrives by midday. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next major catalysts for any odds movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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