The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of 26°C on August 14, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome for that threshold. Light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained high humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight, aligning with typical South China Sea summer patterns where urban heat retention and boundary-layer mixing keep lows near 26–28°C. Model consensus from global and regional forecasts had converged on this range ahead of verification, and the observatory's headquarters station data resolved the market with no significant deviations from climatological baselines. Only an anomalous clear-sky event or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the result, both of which carried negligible probability given the observed conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 100.0%
22°C या उससे कम <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$72,238 वॉल्यूम
$72,238 वॉल्यूम
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C या उससे कम <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$72,238 वॉल्यूम
$72,238 वॉल्यूम
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of 26°C on August 14, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome for that threshold. Light southerly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers maintained high humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight, aligning with typical South China Sea summer patterns where urban heat retention and boundary-layer mixing keep lows near 26–28°C. Model consensus from global and regional forecasts had converged on this range ahead of verification, and the observatory's headquarters station data resolved the market with no significant deviations from climatological baselines. Only an anomalous clear-sky event or measurement revision at the primary station could have shifted the result, both of which carried negligible probability given the observed conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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