**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,511 वॉल्यूम
$42,511 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,511 वॉल्यूम
$42,511 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$723 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$4,983 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$3,293 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$4,785 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$11,152 वॉल्यूम
99%
27°C
$8,338 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$4,929 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$2,367 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$1,073 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$430 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$440 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,511समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$42,511समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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