**Trader consensus for a 28°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on August 16, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those from AccuWeather, which project overnight lows near 28°C (roughly 82°F) amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** August averages feature daily lows of 26–28°C due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and weak radiative cooling at night. Current guidance for the date shows a forecast range of approximately 28–33°C, consistent with seasonal norms and recent days where similar markets priced minimums in the 28–29°C band. This positioning draws from real-time observational trends and short-range model consensus indicating stable atmospheric conditions with limited cooling potential. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies, stronger winds, or a rare late-summer frontal passage that enhances nocturnal cooling—none of which current data support. The market-implied probability captures this high-confidence forecast stability while acknowledging minor uncertainty in exact station readings or microscale variations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
28°C 99%
24°C <1%
27°C <1%
23°C या उससे कम <1%
$23,315 वॉल्यूम
$23,315 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
28°C 99%
24°C <1%
27°C <1%
23°C या उससे कम <1%
$23,315 वॉल्यूम
$23,315 वॉल्यूम
16 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$830 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$1,437 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$1,326 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$3,291 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$2,717 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$7,421 वॉल्यूम
99%
29°C
$3,073 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$1,433 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$642 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$605 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
$540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus for a 28°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on August 16, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those from AccuWeather, which project overnight lows near 28°C (roughly 82°F) amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions.**
August averages feature daily lows of 26–28°C due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and weak radiative cooling at night. Current guidance for the date shows a forecast range of approximately 28–33°C, consistent with seasonal norms and recent days where similar markets priced minimums in the 28–29°C band.
This positioning draws from real-time observational trends and short-range model consensus indicating stable atmospheric conditions with limited cooling potential. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies, stronger winds, or a rare late-summer frontal passage that enhances nocturnal cooling—none of which current data support. The market-implied probability captures this high-confidence forecast stability while acknowledging minor uncertainty in exact station readings or microscale variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,315समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus for a 28°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on August 16, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those from AccuWeather, which project overnight lows near 28°C (roughly 82°F) amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions.**
August averages feature daily lows of 26–28°C due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and weak radiative cooling at night. Current guidance for the date shows a forecast range of approximately 28–33°C, consistent with seasonal norms and recent days where similar markets priced minimums in the 28–29°C band.
This positioning draws from real-time observational trends and short-range model consensus indicating stable atmospheric conditions with limited cooling potential. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies, stronger winds, or a rare late-summer frontal passage that enhances nocturnal cooling—none of which current data support. The market-implied probability captures this high-confidence forecast stability while acknowledging minor uncertainty in exact station readings or microscale variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$23,315समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 28°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on August 16, 2026, reflects official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models such as those from AccuWeather, which project overnight lows near 28°C (roughly 82°F) amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** August averages feature daily lows of 26–28°C due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and weak radiative cooling at night. Current guidance for the date shows a forecast range of approximately 28–33°C, consistent with seasonal norms and recent days where similar markets priced minimums in the 28–29°C band. This positioning draws from real-time observational trends and short-range model consensus indicating stable atmospheric conditions with limited cooling potential. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies, stronger winds, or a rare late-summer frontal passage that enhances nocturnal cooling—none of which current data support. The market-implied probability captures this high-confidence forecast stability while acknowledging minor uncertainty in exact station readings or microscale variations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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