Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance position a daytime maximum of 27°C as the most likely outcome for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following several days of elevated temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41.5% and 27°C at 31.5%—aligns closely with this guidance and seasonal baselines, as the region emerges from a mid-August heat episode that produced peaks near 38°C earlier in the week. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing; cooler 25°C or warmer 28°C scenarios remain secondary possibilities pending the final afternoon observations used for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 42%
27°C 32%
25°C 21%
28°C 5%
$18,399 वॉल्यूम
$18,399 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
42%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 32%
25°C 21%
28°C 5%
$18,399 वॉल्यूम
$18,399 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
42%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance position a daytime maximum of 27°C as the most likely outcome for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following several days of elevated temperatures. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41.5% and 27°C at 31.5%—aligns closely with this guidance and seasonal baselines, as the region emerges from a mid-August heat episode that produced peaks near 38°C earlier in the week. Ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, with modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover evolution and boundary-layer mixing; cooler 25°C or warmer 28°C scenarios remain secondary possibilities pending the final afternoon observations used for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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