Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies highlights frequent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 16 toward 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August daytime maxima average near 32°C, but enhanced convective instability often triggers afternoon showers that suppress extremes below historical peaks of 34–35°C. Current model runs reflect ongoing overcast conditions and sea-breeze influences from the South China Sea, reducing radiative heating. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds, particularly regarding storm timing and intensity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 40%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
40%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
40%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies highlights frequent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity moderating Shenzhen’s peak temperature on August 16 toward 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, typical August daytime maxima average near 32°C, but enhanced convective instability often triggers afternoon showers that suppress extremes below historical peaks of 34–35°C. Current model runs reflect ongoing overcast conditions and sea-breeze influences from the South China Sea, reducing radiative heating. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds, particularly regarding storm timing and intensity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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