Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C in Istanbul on August 16, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow that suppresses strong daytime heating and limits cloud cover. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs range 27–28°C, and recent observational trends show stable conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave reinforcement. Modest upside risk to 27°C exists if insolation increases slightly, while cooler outcomes around 25°C would require greater cloudiness or wind shifts not currently favored in model consensus. Traders are weighting these short-term updates ahead of resolution, with narrow probability bands reflecting limited forecast divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 64%
27°C 20%
25°C 16%
28°C 3%
$12,921 वॉल्यूम
$12,921 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
64%
27°C
20%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 64%
27°C 20%
25°C 16%
28°C 3%
$12,921 वॉल्यूम
$12,921 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
64%
27°C
20%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C in Istanbul on August 16, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow that suppresses strong daytime heating and limits cloud cover. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average highs range 27–28°C, and recent observational trends show stable conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave reinforcement. Modest upside risk to 27°C exists if insolation increases slightly, while cooler outcomes around 25°C would require greater cloudiness or wind shifts not currently favored in model consensus. Traders are weighting these short-term updates ahead of resolution, with narrow probability bands reflecting limited forecast divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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