Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and other models points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability and 32°C at 19.5%, as small variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across that narrow threshold. No significant recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping lower outcomes like 31°C or below and higher extremes like 34°C+ at minimal odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and other models points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal temperatures without extreme heat advection. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 70.5% implied probability and 32°C at 19.5%, as small variations in daytime heating or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across that narrow threshold. No significant recent model shifts or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping lower outcomes like 31°C or below and higher extremes like 34°C+ at minimal odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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