Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and extended outlooks point to stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 12 under strong late-summer insolation and low humidity. Recent model runs show daytime highs rising from 36–37°C on August 11, with minimal cloud cover and only minor cooling expected from a partial solar eclipse. These temperatures exceed long-term August averages near 32–33°C, consistent with Spain’s sequence of 2026 heatwaves and persistent warm advection from North Africa. Limited model spread and the short time to resolution keep probabilities concentrated on the narrow 38–39°C band while assigning thin odds to 40°C or lower outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
12 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
39°C 60%
38°C 29%
40°C 9%
37°C 4%
नया
$10,194 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,194 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
29%
39°C
60%
40°C
9%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
39°C 60%
38°C 29%
40°C 9%
37°C 4%
नया
$10,194 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,194 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
33°C or below
$851 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$417 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$466 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$210 वॉल्यूम
1%
37°C
$1,078 वॉल्यूम
4%
38°C
$3,598 वॉल्यूम
29%
39°C
$1,459 वॉल्यूम
60%
40°C
$875 वॉल्यूम
9%
41°C
$272 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42°C
$444 वॉल्यूम
<1%
43°C or higher
$523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and extended outlooks point to stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 12 under strong late-summer insolation and low humidity. Recent model runs show daytime highs rising from 36–37°C on August 11, with minimal cloud cover and only minor cooling expected from a partial solar eclipse. These temperatures exceed long-term August averages near 32–33°C, consistent with Spain’s sequence of 2026 heatwaves and persistent warm advection from North Africa. Limited model spread and the short time to resolution keep probabilities concentrated on the narrow 38–39°C band while assigning thin odds to 40°C or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,194समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and extended outlooks point to stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 12 under strong late-summer insolation and low humidity. Recent model runs show daytime highs rising from 36–37°C on August 11, with minimal cloud cover and only minor cooling expected from a partial solar eclipse. These temperatures exceed long-term August averages near 32–33°C, consistent with Spain’s sequence of 2026 heatwaves and persistent warm advection from North Africa. Limited model spread and the short time to resolution keep probabilities concentrated on the narrow 38–39°C band while assigning thin odds to 40°C or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$10,194समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and extended outlooks point to stable high-pressure conditions over central Spain, driving trader consensus toward a peak of 38–39°C in Madrid on August 12 under strong late-summer insolation and low humidity. Recent model runs show daytime highs rising from 36–37°C on August 11, with minimal cloud cover and only minor cooling expected from a partial solar eclipse. These temperatures exceed long-term August averages near 32–33°C, consistent with Spain’s sequence of 2026 heatwaves and persistent warm advection from North Africa. Limited model spread and the short time to resolution keep probabilities concentrated on the narrow 38–39°C band while assigning thin odds to 40°C or lower outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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