Recent KMA guidance and global model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s °C for Incheon on August 12, with trader-implied odds tightly clustered at 21–23°C because mid-August climatology in the Seoul metro area typically yields minimums near 23°C under persistent hot, humid conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture from lingering monsoon influences, versus the urban heat island effect that elevates baseline temperatures. Light winds and subsidence from a subtropical ridge limit stronger cooling, while any increase in low-level humidity or partial cloudiness could keep readings closer to 23°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected before resolution will clarify the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 38%
23°C 32%
21°C 15%
24°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
38%
23°C
32%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
23°C 32%
21°C 15%
24°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
38%
23°C
32%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA guidance and global model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-20s °C for Incheon on August 12, with trader-implied odds tightly clustered at 21–23°C because mid-August climatology in the Seoul metro area typically yields minimums near 23°C under persistent hot, humid conditions. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture from lingering monsoon influences, versus the urban heat island effect that elevates baseline temperatures. Light winds and subsidence from a subtropical ridge limit stronger cooling, while any increase in low-level humidity or partial cloudiness could keep readings closer to 23°C. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance expected before resolution will clarify the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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