Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a likely peak of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime radiative heating and minimal cloud cover. High humidity and the urban heat island effect could nudge maxima slightly higher, while any late-afternoon convection or shifting winds might cap them near 36°C. Historical mid-August baselines show frequent 35°C+ readings, with occasional spikes above 38°C during heat episodes, explaining why the 37°C and 38°C bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official 48-hour guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow resolution odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 32%
38°C 28%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
17%
37°C
32%
38°C
28%
39°C
12%
40°C
6%
41°C
5%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 32%
38°C 28%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
नया
नया
12 अग, 2026
32°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
4%
34°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
7%
35°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
8%
36°C
$47 वॉल्यूम
17%
37°C
$126 वॉल्यूम
32%
38°C
$157 वॉल्यूम
28%
39°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
12%
40°C
$79 वॉल्यूम
6%
41°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
5%
42°C or higher
$35 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a likely peak of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime radiative heating and minimal cloud cover. High humidity and the urban heat island effect could nudge maxima slightly higher, while any late-afternoon convection or shifting winds might cap them near 36°C. Historical mid-August baselines show frequent 35°C+ readings, with occasional spikes above 38°C during heat episodes, explaining why the 37°C and 38°C bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official 48-hour guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$594समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a likely peak of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime radiative heating and minimal cloud cover. High humidity and the urban heat island effect could nudge maxima slightly higher, while any late-afternoon convection or shifting winds might cap them near 36°C. Historical mid-August baselines show frequent 35°C+ readings, with occasional spikes above 38°C during heat episodes, explaining why the 37°C and 38°C bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official 48-hour guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$594समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a likely peak of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime radiative heating and minimal cloud cover. High humidity and the urban heat island effect could nudge maxima slightly higher, while any late-afternoon convection or shifting winds might cap them near 36°C. Historical mid-August baselines show frequent 35°C+ readings, with occasional spikes above 38°C during heat episodes, explaining why the 37°C and 38°C bins dominate trader positioning. Updated model runs and official 48-hour guidance expected in the next day will likely narrow resolution odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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