Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from centers including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles supports a Beijing high on August 10 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with 33°C currently the market leader at 31% implied probability. Primary drivers include persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by variable southeasterly flow and potential late-day convection that could limit peaks. Minor model spreads arise from differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer conditions. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will further refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
20%
33°C
32%
34°C
27%
35°C
13%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 13%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
$891 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$132 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$110 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
7%
32°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
20%
33°C
$136 वॉल्यूम
32%
34°C
$171 वॉल्यूम
27%
35°C
$194 वॉल्यूम
13%
36°C
$314 वॉल्यूम
6%
37°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
$132 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from centers including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles supports a Beijing high on August 10 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with 33°C currently the market leader at 31% implied probability. Primary drivers include persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by variable southeasterly flow and potential late-day convection that could limit peaks. Minor model spreads arise from differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer conditions. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,350समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from centers including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles supports a Beijing high on August 10 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with 33°C currently the market leader at 31% implied probability. Primary drivers include persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by variable southeasterly flow and potential late-day convection that could limit peaks. Minor model spreads arise from differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer conditions. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,350समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from centers including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles supports a Beijing high on August 10 in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with 33°C currently the market leader at 31% implied probability. Primary drivers include persistent subtropical high pressure promoting strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by variable southeasterly flow and potential late-day convection that could limit peaks. Minor model spreads arise from differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, while historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 30–32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer conditions. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will further refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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