Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को चोंगकिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
8 अगस्त को चोंगकिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
8 अग, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
26%
34°C
29%
35°C
10%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
नया
नया
8 अग, 2026
26°C or below
$397 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$179 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
10%
31°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
12%
32°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
24%
33°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
26%
34°C
$213 वॉल्यूम
29%
35°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
10%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$827समाप्ति तिथि
8 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$827समाप्ति तिथि
8 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast uncertainty and typical early-August variability in Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34 °C. Numerical models show modest differences in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift daily maxima by 1–2 °C; clearer, drier conditions favor the upper end while scattered showers or thicker stratus suppress peaks toward 31–32 °C. Historical climatology places early-August mean highs near 33–34 °C, with urban heat-island amplification and high humidity (often >70 %) adding marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution on the official maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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