The closely matched market odds around 31–33°C reflect the southwest monsoon (habagat) currently dominating Metro Manila, with PAGASA forecasting highs near 30–33°C on August 15 amid frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds. These conditions limit peak solar heating while promoting convective cloud development that can suppress or briefly elevate maximum temperatures depending on timing and rainfall intensity. Historical August averages for Manila hover near 31°C, providing a climatological baseline against which short-term model runs will determine whether clearer breaks allow a 33°C spike or persistent monsoon moisture caps readings at 31°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 15%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 30%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 15%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds around 31–33°C reflect the southwest monsoon (habagat) currently dominating Metro Manila, with PAGASA forecasting highs near 30–33°C on August 15 amid frequent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds. These conditions limit peak solar heating while promoting convective cloud development that can suppress or briefly elevate maximum temperatures depending on timing and rainfall intensity. Historical August averages for Manila hover near 31°C, providing a climatological baseline against which short-term model runs will determine whether clearer breaks allow a 33°C spike or persistent monsoon moisture caps readings at 31°C. Updated PAGASA and global model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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