Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a mild winter day on August 13 with daytime highs reaching 14–15 °C, driven by a transient northerly flow that tempers the usual cool southerly airstream across Cook Strait. This aligns with climatological August averages near 13 °C while remaining well below record territory, positioning 15 °C as the market leader at 55.5 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover in recent runs support modest warming, though model spread around wind direction keeps 14 °C and 16 °C as viable alternatives at 22.5 % and 19.5 %. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Kelburn or equivalent stations, with any late southerly change the main risk to the current consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 56%
14°C 25%
16°C 17%
13°C 4%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
56%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 25%
16°C 17%
13°C 4%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$429 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$429 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$207 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$253 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$313 वॉल्यूम
4%
14°C
$523 वॉल्यूम
25%
15°C
$664 वॉल्यूम
56%
16°C
$763 वॉल्यूम
17%
17°C
$173 वॉल्यूम
3%
18°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C or higher
$172 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a mild winter day on August 13 with daytime highs reaching 14–15 °C, driven by a transient northerly flow that tempers the usual cool southerly airstream across Cook Strait. This aligns with climatological August averages near 13 °C while remaining well below record territory, positioning 15 °C as the market leader at 55.5 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover in recent runs support modest warming, though model spread around wind direction keeps 14 °C and 16 °C as viable alternatives at 22.5 % and 19.5 %. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Kelburn or equivalent stations, with any late southerly change the main risk to the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,998समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a mild winter day on August 13 with daytime highs reaching 14–15 °C, driven by a transient northerly flow that tempers the usual cool southerly airstream across Cook Strait. This aligns with climatological August averages near 13 °C while remaining well below record territory, positioning 15 °C as the market leader at 55.5 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover in recent runs support modest warming, though model spread around wind direction keeps 14 °C and 16 °C as viable alternatives at 22.5 % and 19.5 %. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Kelburn or equivalent stations, with any late southerly change the main risk to the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,998समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a mild winter day on August 13 with daytime highs reaching 14–15 °C, driven by a transient northerly flow that tempers the usual cool southerly airstream across Cook Strait. This aligns with climatological August averages near 13 °C while remaining well below record territory, positioning 15 °C as the market leader at 55.5 % implied probability. Persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover in recent runs support modest warming, though model spread around wind direction keeps 14 °C and 16 °C as viable alternatives at 22.5 % and 19.5 %. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Kelburn or equivalent stations, with any late southerly change the main risk to the current consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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