Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a 25–30°C range on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and near-100% rain chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 30°C (45.5%) and 31°C (28%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs tempered by frequent convective activity. Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential without a nearby tropical system, while historical analogs indicate monsoon-enhanced rainfall often caps peaks near or slightly below the seasonal mean. Updated agency outlooks and any last-minute monsoon strength shifts remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 46%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
15%
30°C
46%
31°C
28%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
30°C 46%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$33 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$98 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$55 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$144 वॉल्यूम
5%
29°C
$771 वॉल्यूम
15%
30°C
$453 वॉल्यूम
46%
31°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
28%
32°C
$325 वॉल्यूम
7%
33°C
$583 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C
$97 वॉल्यूम
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$126 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a 25–30°C range on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and near-100% rain chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 30°C (45.5%) and 31°C (28%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs tempered by frequent convective activity. Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential without a nearby tropical system, while historical analogs indicate monsoon-enhanced rainfall often caps peaks near or slightly below the seasonal mean. Updated agency outlooks and any last-minute monsoon strength shifts remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,829समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a 25–30°C range on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and near-100% rain chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 30°C (45.5%) and 31°C (28%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs tempered by frequent convective activity. Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential without a nearby tropical system, while historical analogs indicate monsoon-enhanced rainfall often caps peaks near or slightly below the seasonal mean. Updated agency outlooks and any last-minute monsoon strength shifts remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,829समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a 25–30°C range on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which is driving widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and near-100% rain chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 30°C (45.5%) and 31°C (28%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August climatology of 30–32°C highs tempered by frequent convective activity. Model consensus shows minimal intensification potential without a nearby tropical system, while historical analogs indicate monsoon-enhanced rainfall often caps peaks near or slightly below the seasonal mean. Updated agency outlooks and any last-minute monsoon strength shifts remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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