Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 13 indicate scattered showers and daytime highs near 28–30°C under typical mid-August humidity levels exceeding 70–80%, aligning with trader consensus around the closely matched 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and the strength of the Pacific High, which can suppress or enhance peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though above-normal summer 2026 temperatures and urban heat effects support elevated baselines. Updated JMA model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 29%
28°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
29%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 14%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$55 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
5%
27°C
$314 वॉल्यूम
19%
28°C
$49 वॉल्यूम
29%
29°C
$151 वॉल्यूम
29%
30°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
14%
31°C
$183 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$227 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C or higher
$1,165 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 13 indicate scattered showers and daytime highs near 28–30°C under typical mid-August humidity levels exceeding 70–80%, aligning with trader consensus around the closely matched 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and the strength of the Pacific High, which can suppress or enhance peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though above-normal summer 2026 temperatures and urban heat effects support elevated baselines. Updated JMA model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,778समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 13 indicate scattered showers and daytime highs near 28–30°C under typical mid-August humidity levels exceeding 70–80%, aligning with trader consensus around the closely matched 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and the strength of the Pacific High, which can suppress or enhance peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though above-normal summer 2026 temperatures and urban heat effects support elevated baselines. Updated JMA model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,778समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 13 indicate scattered showers and daytime highs near 28–30°C under typical mid-August humidity levels exceeding 70–80%, aligning with trader consensus around the closely matched 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences between these outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and the strength of the Pacific High, which can suppress or enhance peak solar heating by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though above-normal summer 2026 temperatures and urban heat effects support elevated baselines. Updated JMA model runs and observational data in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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