Forecast ensembles from major centers like the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 15 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, producing the tightest market probabilities at 31 °C and 30 °C. Day-to-day variability stems from small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave a degree or two from peak heating. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 30 °C when high pressure builds, yet the narrow two-day lead time keeps resolution sensitive to the next model cycle and surface observations. Traders are weighting the consensus mode while discounting tails below 28 °C or above 33 °C absent stronger signals of anomalous warmth or persistent overcast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 8%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 8%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$53 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$167 वॉल्यूम
18%
30°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
28%
31°C
$84 वॉल्यूम
35%
32°C
$121 वॉल्यूम
17%
33°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
4%
34°C
$47 वॉल्यूम
1%
35°C or higher
$91 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major centers like the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 15 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, producing the tightest market probabilities at 31 °C and 30 °C. Day-to-day variability stems from small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave a degree or two from peak heating. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 30 °C when high pressure builds, yet the narrow two-day lead time keeps resolution sensitive to the next model cycle and surface observations. Traders are weighting the consensus mode while discounting tails below 28 °C or above 33 °C absent stronger signals of anomalous warmth or persistent overcast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$801समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast ensembles from major centers like the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 15 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, producing the tightest market probabilities at 31 °C and 30 °C. Day-to-day variability stems from small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave a degree or two from peak heating. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 30 °C when high pressure builds, yet the narrow two-day lead time keeps resolution sensitive to the next model cycle and surface observations. Traders are weighting the consensus mode while discounting tails below 28 °C or above 33 °C absent stronger signals of anomalous warmth or persistent overcast.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$801समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major centers like the ECMWF and GFS currently cluster maximum temperatures in Warsaw on August 15 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, producing the tightest market probabilities at 31 °C and 30 °C. Day-to-day variability stems from small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave a degree or two from peak heating. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 24 °C with occasional excursions above 30 °C when high pressure builds, yet the narrow two-day lead time keeps resolution sensitive to the next model cycle and surface observations. Traders are weighting the consensus mode while discounting tails below 28 °C or above 33 °C absent stronger signals of anomalous warmth or persistent overcast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न